In addition to the Japan Analytics Results Scores, we also track Aggregate Results by Sector using trailing twelve month data as well as Aggregate Forecasts.
For all listed companies, revenues are growing at a modest 2% and operating income by 5% over 3 and 6 months and 8% over one year. Operating margins have only risen by 40 basis points in the last year.
Aggregate net income is up 6%, 14% and 34% over 3, 6 and 12 months, respectively. This is a bottom-line recovery, driven by more cyclical sectors, especially Wholesale, Metals and Energy.
The Internet and Commercial Services sectors have the best revenue growth and have been joined by Metals in the last 6 months.
Operating margins are rising fastest in the Energy, Metals, Other Consumer Products and Electrical Equipment sectors, but are falling in the Other Materials, Healthcare, Autos, Utilities, Banks, Internet and Media sectors.
The market is on 18X trailing aggregate earnings and 1.52x current aggregate book.
Fully Priced (FP) sectors where both PER and PBR are in the top 20% are Other Consumer Products, Restaurants and both Services sectors but none are as yet showing significant negative earnings momentum.
Deep Value (DV) sectors are Wholesale, Utilities and Banks. Of these, only Wholesale has positive earnings momentum.
Aggregate revenue forecasts are currently 2.5% ahead of TTM results and operating income forecasts are 3.3% ahead. There is no difference between Forecast and TTM operating margins.
Forecasts are significantly ahead of TTM Results in the Other Consumer Products, Electrical Equipment (Toshiba), Restaurants and Commercial Services sectors.
Forecasts are below Results in the Energy, Construction and Internet sectors.